Line opened with Providence as a 2.5 point underdog and has since moved up to 3 points. My numbers (not inclusive of home court advantage, etc) have Providence as about a 2 point favorite. Kenpom sees the final score as 69-68 in favor of Seton Hall.
Trends
Line opened with Providence as a 5 point underdog. My numbers (not inclusive of home court advantage, etc) have Providence as about a 6.5 point underdog.
Line opened with Providence as a 12 point favorite. My numbers (not inclusive of home court advantage, etc) have Providence as about a 10 point favorite.
Line opened with Providence as a 4.5 point underdog. My numbers (not inclusive of home court advantage, etc) have Providence as about a 4 point favorite so there is more going on here than just home court. The Friars need this one tomorrow night.
The line opened at PC -4.5 in Vegas. My numbers have this game as PC -2 (numbers don’t include home court and similar intangibles).
| St. John’s | 7-13 ATS | 2-3 ATS Away |
| Providence | 10-10-1 ATS | 7-4 ATS Home |
Betting Trends
The line opened at PC -3.5 and has since moved to PC -5. My numbers (numbers don’t include home court and similar intangibles) have PC as about an 8 point favorite.
My numbers have this game at pick ’em but that doesn’t take into account home court advantage and other factors like injuries, momentum, tired legs, etc. Even still, Marquette being 5.5 point favorites seems a bit high. I have a feeling this line will drop down to around 2 or 3 points by the time these teams tip-off tomorrow night.
| Providence | 10-8-1 ATS | 2-2 ATS Away |
| Marquette | 7-11 ATS | 2-6 ATS Home |
Betting Trends
pcbb1917.com - Providence College Basketball 