Tag Archives: prediction

NCAA Tournament

Kenpom.com 2014 NCAA Tournament log5

1 Comment

NCAA Tournament log5

Seed Team Rd32 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in…
1W Arizona 95.8 70.8 55.5 40.2 24.9 15.9 6
1S Florida 95.7 71.6 51.2 35.7 22.6 12.9 8
4MW Louisville 87.3 71.5 44.3 31.5 19.7 12.3 8
1E Virginia 96.7 77.4 52.9 35.4 21.2 11.5 9
1MW Wichita St. 95.4 68.1 36.8 24.4 13.9 8 13
2E Villanova 92.3 62.3 41.3 21 10.8 5 20
3W Creighton 87 59.1 36.1 16.6 7.6 3.6 27
2S Kansas 88.2 58.1 34.5 16.1 8 3.5 29
3MW Duke 84.6 53.5 33.2 14.1 6.8 3.2 31
4E Michigan St. 84.3 51.4 22.9 12.5 5.9 2.4 41
2W Wisconsin 82.2 53.3 29 12.4 5.3 2.3 43
2MW Michigan 91.3 60.9 31.2 11.7 5 2.1 47
3S Syracuse 83.6 48.4 25.2 10.5 4.7 1.8 55
5S VCU 73 42.5 16.8 8.9 4.1 1.6 62
4S UCLA 73.4 39.7 15 7.6 3.3 1.3 79
6S Ohio St. 66.7 35.5 17.6 7 3 1.1 93
3E Iowa St. 73.2 41.2 18.6 7.4 3 1 96
4W San Diego St. 72.6 43.7 14.5 7 2.6 1 97
9S Pittsburgh 71.5 23 11.9 5.9 2.5 0.9 108
11MW Tennessee 40.9 20.8 11.9 4.5 2 0.9 117
8MW Kentucky 64.9 23.1 8.9 4.4 1.8 0.7 139
7E Connecticut 63.2 25.7 13.7 5.3 2 0.7 145
6E North Carolina 59.4 32 13.6 5.1 1.9 0.6 157
5E Cincinnati 56.3 26.8 9.9 4.6 1.8 0.6 162
8W Gonzaga 50.6 14.7 8.4 4.1 1.6 0.6 163
9W Oklahoma St. 49.4 14.1 8 3.9 1.4 0.6 178
7S New Mexico 56.9 24 11.1 3.8 1.4 0.5 222
5W Oklahoma 63.3 32.3 9.3 4 1.3 0.4 223
7W Oregon 60 27.2 11.8 3.9 1.3 0.4 233
6W Baylor 58.9 24 11.2 3.7 1.2 0.4 253
12E Harvard 43.7 18.3 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2 438
11MW Iowa 26.2 11.3 5.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 451
5MW Saint Louis 57.1 14.4 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.2 638
7MW Texas 52.3 20.2 7.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 688
10S Stanford 43.1 15.5 6.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 690
11E Providence 40.6 18.1 6.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 729
10MW Arizona St. 47.7 17.5 5.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 1015
9E G. Washington 50 11.1 4 1.4 0.4 0 9   1062
8E Memphis 50 11.1 4 1.4 0.4 0 9   1070
11W Nebraska 41.1 13.7 5.2 1.4 0.3 0 9   1111
10W BYU 40 14.5 5 1.3 0.3 0 8   1255
10E Saint Joseph’s 36.8 10.8 4.4 1.2 0.3 0 8   1325
11S Dayton 33.3 12.5 4.2 1.1 0.3 0 7   1494
9MW Kansas St. 35.1 8.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0 6   1704
6MW Massachusetts 33 10.6 3.9 0.8 0.2 0 5   1834
12MW Xavier 27.2 6.2 1.7 0.6 0.2 0 5   2169
12W N. Dakota St. 36.7 14 2.7 0.8 0.2 0 4   2259
12S S.F. Austin 27 9.5 2 0.6 0.1 0 3   3397
8S Colorado 28.5 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0 2   5169
13S Tulsa 26.6 8.3 1.6 0.43 0.1 0 2   5361
13W New Mexico St. 27.4 10.1 1.7 0.4 0 9   0.0 2   5845
14E N.C. Central 26.8 8.6 2.1 0.4 0 9   0.0 1   6848
13MW Manhattan 12.7 5.1 1.1 0.3 0 6   0.0 1   7639
12MW N.C. State 15.7 2.8 0.6 0.2 0 4   0.0 08  12948
15W American 17.8 5.1 1.1 0.2 0 2   0.0 04  26625
14MW Mercer 15.4 3.8 0.9 0.1 0 2   0.0 03  35657
13E Delaware 15.7 3.5 0.5 0.1 0 15  0.0 02  53891
14S Western Mich. 16.4 3.6 0.7 0.09 0 1   0.0 01  67027
14W La.-Lafayette 13 3.2 0.6 0.08 0 1   0.0 01  78951
15S E. Kentucky 11.8 2.4 0.4 0.05 0 06  0.0 006 162840
15E Milwaukee 7.7 1.2 0.2 0.02 0 01  <.0 001 992385
16W Weber St. 4.2 0.5 0.07 0 8  0.0 006 <.0 001 2104239
15MW Wofford 8.7 1.4 0.14 0 8  0.0 006 <.0 001 2248165
16MW Cal Poly 3.3 0.4 0.04 0 4  0.0 003 <.0 001 4225592
16S Albany 2.3 0.3 0.04 0 4  0.0 003 <.0 001 5124856
16S Mt. St. Mary’s 2 0.2 0.03 0 2  0.0 002 <.0 001 8766968
16E Coastal Car. 3.3 0.4 0.03 0 2  0.0 001 <.0 001 20811710
16MW Texas Southern 1.3 0.1 0 6  0.00 04 <.0 001 <.0 001 106501028

Continue reading Kenpom.com 2014 NCAA Tournament log5 →

NCAA Tournament

FiveThirtyEight.com – FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA Tournament Predictions

Leave a comment

FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA Tournament Predictions

Check out this interesting resource by Nate Silver and Matthew Conlen over at FiveThirtyEight which gives you each team’s chances of getting to every round as well as the most likely team to win each game. Based on their predictions, PC has a 32% chance of getting to the round of 32 by beating UNC, a 12% chance of getting to the Sweet 16, a 4% chance of getting back to MSG for the Elite 8 and <1% chance of reaching the final 4 and winning it all.